Worst Economy Since the Great Depression

Worst Economy Since the Great Depression

George Washington's picture

Submitted by George Washington on 05/25/2016 15:49 -0400

Alan Greenspan Australia Bank of England Ben Bernanke Ben Bernanke Black Swan European Union Fannie Mae Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Bank goldman sachs Goldman Sachs Great Depression Housing Prices Japan


Many economic indicators are at their worst since the Great Depression …

For example, we noted in 2009 that more Americans will be unemployed than during the Great Depression.

We noted in 2010:

The following experts have – at some point during the last 2 years – said that the economic crisis could be worse than the Great Depression:



Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke (and see this)

Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan (and see this and this)

Former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker

Economics scholar and former Federal Reserve Governor Frederic Mishkin

The head of the Bank of England Mervyn King

Nobel prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz

Nobel prize winning economist Paul Krugman

Former Goldman Sachs chairman John Whitehead

Economics professors Barry Eichengreen and and Kevin H. O’Rourke (updated here)

Investment advisor, risk expert and “Black Swan” author Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Well-known PhD economist Marc Faber

Morgan Stanley’s UK equity strategist Graham Secker

Former chief credit officer at Fannie Mae Edward J. Pinto

Billionaire investor George Soros

Senior British minister Ed Balls

We explained in 2011 that many economists agree we’re in a depression … and they only argue about whether we’re facing the “Great” depression of the 1930s or the “Long” depression of the 1870s. We also noted that housing prices fell farther than during the Great Depression.

In 2012, we wrote:

We’ve repeatedly pointed out that there are many indicators which show that the last 5 years have been worse than the Great Depression of the 1930s, including:

The housing slump

The bank charge off rate

The collapse in world trade

The withdrawal of short-term credit

The level of inequality between rich and poor (too much inequality destroys economies)

The interconnectedness of financial systems and economies worldwide (interconnectedness leads to financial instability)

Runaway spending and greed

***

Indeed, the number of Americans relying on government assistance to obtain basic food may be higher now that during the Great Depression. The only reason we don’t see “soup lines” like we did in the 30s is because of the massive food stamp program.

We noted in 2013 that the British economy is worse than during the Great Depression, and more Americans are committing suicide than during the Great Depression.

We pointed out in 2014 that Europe is stuck in an economic malaise worse than a depression, and cited charts showing that Europe’s GDP is recovering much slower than after the Great Depression:

Great Depression v. Great Recession, United Kingdom GDP

Great Depression v. Great Recession, Europe GDP

We also noted that Americans fared better after the Great Depression than the 2008 crisis and that U.S. foreclosure rates are comparable to the Great Depression.

Last year, we noted that an important economic indicator – the velocity of money – has crashed far worse than during the Great Depression, and that the howling winds of deflation are hammering the U.S. just as much as Europe.

We noted that last year was the first pre-election year stock market loss since the Great Depression.

In January, we pointed out that a prominent economist said:

Future economic historians may not call the period that began in 2007 the “Greatest Depression.” But as of now, it is highly and increasingly probable that they will call it the “Longest Depression.”

In March, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis noted that – as with Europe – America’s GDP is recovering much slower than after the Great Depression:

Economic Recoveries

And Pew reports:

More young adults in the U.S. are living with their parents than at any time since around 1940, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of census data.



Across the European Union’s 28 member nations, nearly half (48.1%) of 18- to 34-year-olds were living with their parents in 2014 ….

***

Similar long-term trends have been observed elsewhere. Canada’s most recent census, in 2011, found that 42.3% of adults ages 20 to 29 lived in their parents’ homes, up from 32.1% in 1991 and 26.9% in 1981. In Australia, about 29% of 18- to 34-year-olds were living with one or both of their parents (but without a partner or child) in 2011, up from 21% in 1976. And in Japan, the share of 20- to 34-year-olds living with their parents grew from 29.5% in 1980 to 48.9% in 2012.

Heck of a job ...